NBA: Saturday Top Trends

Although college conference tournament action figures to get most of the attention Saturday

2008-03-14

Although college conference tournament action figures to get most of the attention Saturday, the NBA is once again offering up a full slate of games to satisfy your wagering needs. Eight games are on tap, all with lines, totals, and prop opportunities to seize.

Two of the games to keep an eye on are in Orlando and Milwaukee, as the top two teams in the NBA in terms of success against the pointspread will be in action. In Orlando, it’s the Magic hosting the Pacers. Indiana loves to play the up-tempo game but that could fall right into the hands of Orlando, who is the league’s top team at 64.6% ATS. This StatFox Power Trend illustrates why: ORLANDO is 34-18 ATS (+14.2 Units) in home games versus teams who attempt 18 or more 3 point shots/game - 2nd half of the season since 1996. The average score was ORLANDO 99.3, OPPONENT 95.5. In Milwaukee, the struggling Bucks will host the Celtics, the current #1 seed in the Eastern Conference. Milwaukee has been competitive at home, but that directly coincides with a trend showing how well that Boston has taken care of business on the road: BOSTON is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) in road games when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%) over the last 2 seasons. The average score was BOSTON 100.3, OPPONENT 94.9 - (Rating = 1*).

Here are some other top trends for the day plus a best bet to consider:

(707) UTAH vs. (708) NEW JERSEY
NEW JERSEY is 4-17 ATS (-14.7 Units) vs. good 3 point shooting teams (>=36% 3PT's) this season.
The average score was NEW JERSEY 90.8, OPPONENT 101.2 - (Rating = 3*)

(709) BOSTON vs. (710) MILWAUKEE
BOSTON is 26-9 ATS (+16.1 Units) in road games vs. teams with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was BOSTON 99, OPPONENT 95.8 - (Rating = 2*)

(713) SACRAMENTO vs. (714) PHOENIX
SACRAMENTO is 15-3 OVER (+11.7 Units) revenging a same season loss vs opponent this season.
The average score was SACRAMENTO 104.7, OPPONENT 106.5 - (Rating = 3*)

(701) LA CLIPPERS at (702) WASHINGTON: Many of the FoxSheets Super Situations reach consistent success levels in the 70% range, so it’s worth our time to investigate the games before selecting. One power system for this week popped up in the LA Clippers/ Washington game for Saturday night, and it reads as such: Play On - Road teams (LA CLIPPERS) - revenging a close loss vs opponent of 3 points or less, a bad team, winning 25% to 40% of their games on the season. (72-41 over the last 5 seasons.) (63.7%, +26.9 units. Rating = 2*). I won’t be able to give you a whole lot of positive reason to play the Clips, but I can add a couple against the Wizards. First, Washington is 9-19 ATS vs. poor defensive teams (FG%Def >=46%) in the 2nd half of the last 2 seasons, and second, the Wizards could be due for a letdown after hosting Cleveland on TNT Thursday. Play: LA Clippers

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